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This game can be easy, and it can be not so easy. The short-run randomness that dictates how kind the cards are plays a huge role in that. Skill and ability to adhere to a plan does as well, but to a lesser extent. Tonight, and the several nights preceding, the game has felt very hard. I just can’t get started, can’t get any traction in these 2/4 games. I take a few crappy beats, make one or two mistakes, and find myself 30, 50, 80 bucks in the hole quickly. I fight and fight and fight, and 400 hands later maybe I’m almost even or something like that.

And the thing is, these bouts of poor Slot Demo to break-even results are bound to happen, especially to a player that has run hot over long stretches of time as I have in recent weeks/months. Mathematically, this is just something that is going to occur, and the better you handle it, the better off you’ll be as a player. Personally, I rate my handling about a C+/B-… effective, but not exemplary by any means.

Its the boredom. The pain of seeing horrible players scoop tons of pots. Of folding Q4o for what seems like the 5 billionth time. Winning only the blinds when you raise in MP with KK or AA. Whiffing with AKs constantly. And of course of missing with your flopped four flushes every time. You know you’re on the right path, but man do you feel lost from time to time while navigating it.

So anyhow, I’m in this rut. Not losing big or anything… had a -$30 night on Friday, and am on course to do another version of that tonight if things don’t turn around (currently 470 hands, -$55). Like I said, I’ve expected these nights to come. I handle them well enough. But that doesn’t mean they don’t feel like shit anyhow.

*end of session note: finished down $15… was within $0.50 of even, dealt AA, and of course had it craked by 88 when a T fell on the river (board Q94J rainbow prior to then). Whatever. So help me God I’m going to destroy the fish on Party this week. I need some mo for the pending trip to Vegas.

Yeesh…

I am honestly nearing my untilted wit’s end. I haven’t done it yet, but I am going to go absolutely ballistic if things keep up the way they have been. Set over set, and in particular runner-runner. Two outers. All that jazz, as they say in the movie Chicago.

The instant I sit down, I get drilled in the noggin with a 2×4, it seems. I get a nice hand, and whiff. Or worse, draw to a hand (I hold AJ, board is 3337 one bet flop and turn, river my J, only to lose to slowplayed AA, by a guy with VP$IP of 48).

It is infuriating. But so far, I haven’t lost my cool.

Just after posting the message above, this happened:

$2/$4 Hold’em – Monday, December 06, 19:26:38 EDT 2004

Table Deal Quick (Real Money)

Dealt to NegativeEV_ [ Ad Qc ]

Pre-Flop

UTG raises, 2 folds, Hero 3-bets, 2 folds, Button calls, SB calls, BB folds, UTG calls.

Flop [ 4h, 6c, 3c ]

SB checks, UTG bets, Hero calls, Button raises, SB folds, UTG calls, Hero calls.

Turn [ Ac ]

UTG checks, Hero bets, Button calls, UTG folds.

River [ 7h ]

Hero checks, Button checks.

NegativeEV_ shows [ Ad, Qc ] a pair of aces.

Rmarotti shows [ 5c, 5d ] a straight, three to seven.

Rmarotti wins $44 from the main pot with a straight, three to seven.

That’s 8 outs… heads up. I’m an 81% favorite (see below). I mean, yes, shit happens, and yes, I’m going to lose that about one time in 5, but I guess what I’m saying is it really hurts when all of those longshots come in one after another, well above and beyond the usual slings and arrows of low limit no fold’em. Folks, hear me out. I know low limit well enough (more than 20K hands in my PT). I know how to handle the losses. But this is on a whole different level. Its maddening

http://twodimes.net/h/?z=648163

pokenum -h ad qc – 5c 5d — 4h 6c 3c ac

Holdem Hi: 44 enumerated boards containing Ac 6c 3c 4h

cards win %win lose %lose tie %tie EV

Qc Ad 36 81.82 8 18.18 0 0.00 0.818

5c 5d 8 18.18 36 81.82 0 0.00 0.182